UncategorizedUncategorizedUncategorized November 5, 2024

Market Watch for Oct 2024

Market Shows Resilience with Increased Sales in October

The London and St. Thomas real estate market has shown encouraging signs of growth and stability in October 2024. Sales activity notably increased, with 661 transactions recorded, up from 526 in October 2023. This represents a significant recovery from the previous year and highlights the market’s resilience.

New listings remained strong, with 1,388 new properties entering the market, slightly down from 1,415 in October 2023 but still reflecting a healthy supply of homes for potential buyers. This level of new listings is one of the highest in the past decade, indicating robust seller confidence.

In October 2024, new listings increased by 10.2%. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), a sales-to-new-listings ratio between 40% and 60% indicates a balanced market. LSTAR’s ratio year to date is 46.5%. This suggests that the market is stable, with a healthy balance between the number of homes being sold and the number of new listings.

LSTAR Chair Kathy Amess commented on the market trends: “The increase in sales activity and the steady number of new listings are very encouraging. It shows that our market is adapting well to current economic conditions. The availability of more active listings is a positive development, providing buyers with more choices and helping to balance the market.”

The table below displays October average prices and MLS® HPI Benchmark Prices in LSTAR’s main regions supplied by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). The average price of $623,189 for the LSTAR region was up 0.3% from October 2023 and down 3% from last month’s $641,583.

Area

October 2024 MLS®
HPI Benchmark Price

October 2024
Average Price

Central Elgin $639,200 $704,179
London East $490,800 $482,894
London North $703,900 $709,361
London South $625,000 $681,182
Middlesex Centre $850,500 $843,289
St. Thomas $561,800 $556,623
Strathroy-Caradoc $782,600 $663,786
LSTAR $608,500 $623,189

The HPI benchmark price reflects the value of a “typical home” as assigned by buyers in a certain area based on various housing attributes, while the average sales price is calculated by adding all the sale prices for homes sold and dividing that total by the number of homes sold. The HPI benchmark price is helpful to gauge trends over time since averages may fluctuate by changes in the mix of sales activity from one month to the next.

The following table displays October benchmark prices for all housing types within LSTAR’s jurisdiction and shows how they compare with those recorded in the previous month and three months ago.

MLS® Home Price Index Benchmark Prices

Benchmark Type October 2024 Change Over 
September 2024
Change Over
July 2024
LSTAR Composite $608,500 ↓0.5% ↓1.9%
LSTAR Single-Family $655,400 ↓0.7% ↓1.5%
LSTAR One Storey $584,300 ↓3.2% ↓4.9%
LSTAR Two Storey $712,900 ↑1.2% ↑1.1%
LSTAR Townhouse $487,300 ↓1.8% ↓5.1%
LSTAR Apartment $412,300 ↑4.2% ↓2.1%

Overall, while some categories have seen slight declines, the increase in two-storey homes and apartments indicates areas of growth and resilience in the market.

Amess further added, “We are optimistic about the future. We haven’t had time for the marketplace to realize the full effects from the Bank of Canada rate decrease last month so we look forward to seeing where things go in the next while. October does indicate that we are heading in the right direction.”

The chart below shows the most recent HPI benchmark prices across Canada.

According to a recent study1 by Altus Group, an average housing transaction in Ontario generated an average of $88,966 in spin-off spending per transaction from 2020 to 2022. These expenses include legal fees, appraisers, moving costs, new appliances, and home renovation expenses.

Employment resulting from home sales is also significant, according to the Altus study. Resale housing activity created an estimated 106,565 jobs annually in Ontario from 2020 to 2022. Jobs include manufacturing, construction, finance, and insurance.